This is the web page for the project titled "Systems Analysis of Personal Transportation Needs In Emerging Market Countries" carried out in the Division of Engineering and Applied Sciences and the Harvard University Center for the Environment (HUCE). The principal investigator is Prof Peter P. Rogers, Gordon McKay Professor of Environmental Engineering and Professor of City and Regional Planning. A leading concern of most emerging markets is the need to meet rapidly expanding energy demands for development in an economically and environmentally rational manner. In the U.S. and other developed countries, total energy demand is distributed in roughly equal proportions to three end-use categories-transportation, industrial, and household and commercial sectors. Most developing countries are transportation-poor, with about ten percent of total energy demand from this sector. This will change over time, approaching a distribution closer to that of the developed world. Hence, for many countries like India and China the transport sector is the most rapidly growing energy end-use category. Choices made now will have impacts lasting well into the middle of the 21st century. The desire for personal mobility in urban areas - typically by means of personal-use vehicles - will comprise much of growing transportation energy demand. For example, in India and China most urban areas including Delhi, Mumbai, Chennai, Beijing, and Shanghai already have major air pollution problems that could be greatly exacerbated if growth of the transport sector is managed unwisely. Western nations like the U.S., with growing concern for possible climate changes associated in large part with global fossil energy use, likewise have interest in the technology, policy, and investment options in environmentally sound transportation development in emerging market countries.

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